Lies? Economy? Trends move away from McCain/Palin:

Pop Goes the Weasel:

Data is coming in from all sides:

NYTIMES / CBS:

(CBS) In a sign that John McCain’s convention bounce has dissipated, Barack Obama has taken a 48 percent to 43 percent lead over his Republican rival among registered voters in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll.

McCain had a two percentage point lead among registered voters in a CBS News poll released on September 8th, just after the Republican National Convention. Prior to the party conventions, Obama led McCain by 3 points.

In the new poll, the gap among likely voters is the same as it is among registered voters: Obama leads among those seen as likely to go to the polls in November 49 percent to 44 percent.

Gallup Confirms slight Obama Edge:

Obama Edges Ahead as Economic Negativity Grows

Obama: 47
McCain: 45

Based on Registered Voters

Obama Takes 7 Point Lead with Independent Voters

Obama: 47
McCain: 40

Based on Registered Voters who identify themselves as independents